feat: Initial CBPOA commit — 武汉儿童呼吸疾病风险评估系统
Context: Build a spatial risk assessment system correlating air quality data with children's respiratory disease incidence across Wuhan. Approach: FastAPI backend serving PostGIS spatial queries, React frontend with Deck.gl maps, and a PyTorch SpatialTemporalGCN pipeline for multi-day (1d/3d/7d) risk prediction. Changes: - backend/ — FastAPI API with auth (JWT), alerts, risk analysis, geocoded case data, grid statistics, and report endpoints - frontend/ — React dashboard with interactive risk maps, alert monitoring, district comparison charts, and timeline player - models/ — SpatialTemporalGCN model with trained weights and ONNX export for inference - scripts/ — ETL pipeline for weather + medical data, grid generation, feature engineering, training, and daily inference - deploy/ — Docker Compose configs for backend, frontend, and MLflow - docs/ — API docs, deployment guide, user guide, and code review Impact: Enables spatial risk visualization, alert monitoring, and ML-driven health risk forecasting for environmental health teams.
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backend/routers/analysis.py
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273
backend/routers/analysis.py
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"""
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Router for CBPOA analysis endpoints
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Time series trends, district aggregation, and weather-health correlations
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"""
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from fastapi import APIRouter, HTTPException, Query
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from datetime import datetime, timedelta
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from typing import List, Literal
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import random
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from pydantic import BaseModel, Field
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from config import DATA_DIR, RISK_HIGH
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from utils.date_helpers import get_latest_date
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from utils.geojson import parse_geojson_file, load_districts
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from utils.geo import point_in_polygon
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from utils.risk import calculate_trend
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router = APIRouter(prefix="/api/analysis", tags=["analysis"])
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class TrendResponse(BaseModel):
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"""Response for trend data"""
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dates: List[str] = Field(..., description="Date labels")
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values: List[float] = Field(..., description="Risk values")
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trend: Literal["up", "down", "stable"] = Field(..., description="Trend direction")
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class DistrictRisk(BaseModel):
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"""District-level risk aggregation"""
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name: str = Field(..., description="District name")
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avg_risk: float = Field(..., description="Average risk value")
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high_risk_count: int = Field(..., description="Count of high risk grids")
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total_grids: int = Field(..., description="Total grids in district")
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total_cases: int = Field(..., description="Estimated total cases")
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class DistrictsResponse(BaseModel):
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"""Response for districts aggregation"""
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districts: List[DistrictRisk] = Field(..., description="District risk data")
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timestamp: str = Field(..., description="Response timestamp")
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class CorrelationFactor(BaseModel):
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"""Correlation factor data"""
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factor: str = Field(..., description="Factor name")
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correlation: float = Field(..., description="Correlation coefficient (-1 to 1)")
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significance: Literal["high", "medium", "low"] = Field(..., description="Statistical significance")
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description: str = Field(..., description="Factor description")
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class CorrelationsResponse(BaseModel):
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"""Response for correlations"""
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correlations: List[CorrelationFactor] = Field(..., description="Correlation factors")
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timestamp: str = Field(..., description="Response timestamp")
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@router.get("/trend", response_model=TrendResponse)
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async def get_trend(days: int = Query(default=7, ge=1, le=30)):
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"""
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Get time series trend data from ACTUAL historical observations
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Args:
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days: Number of days for trend (1-30)
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Returns:
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Trend data with dates, values, and trend direction
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"""
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latest_date = get_latest_date()
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try:
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base_date = datetime.strptime(latest_date, "%Y%m%d")
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except ValueError:
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raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail="Invalid date format in data files")
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dates = []
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values = []
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for i in range(days):
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date = base_date - timedelta(days=days - 1 - i)
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date_str = date.strftime("%Y%m%d")
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filepath = DATA_DIR / f"risk_{date_str}.geojson"
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if filepath.exists():
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grids = parse_geojson_file(filepath)
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if grids:
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avg_risk = sum(g["risk_1d"] for g in grids) / len(grids)
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values.append(round(avg_risk, 4))
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else:
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values.append(0)
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else:
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values.append(0)
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dates.append(date.strftime("%Y-%m-%d"))
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# Filter out zero values
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valid_data = [(d, v) for d, v in zip(dates, values) if v > 0]
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if valid_data:
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dates, values = zip(*valid_data)
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dates, values = list(dates), list(values)
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trend_direction = calculate_trend(values)
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return TrendResponse(
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dates=dates,
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values=values,
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trend=trend_direction,
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)
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@router.get("/districts", response_model=DistrictsResponse)
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async def get_districts():
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"""
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Get district-level risk aggregation
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Returns:
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District-level risk data with averages and counts
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"""
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latest_date = get_latest_date()
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filepath = DATA_DIR / f"risk_{latest_date}.geojson"
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if not filepath.exists():
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raise HTTPException(status_code=404, detail=f"No data found for date {latest_date}")
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grids = parse_geojson_file(filepath)
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districts = load_districts()
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if not districts:
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# Fallback: return city-wide aggregation
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avg_risk = sum(g["risk_1d"] for g in grids) / len(grids) if grids else 0
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high_risk_count = sum(1 for g in grids if g["risk_1d"] >= RISK_HIGH)
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return DistrictsResponse(
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districts=[
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DistrictRisk(
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name="武汉市",
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avg_risk=round(avg_risk, 4),
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high_risk_count=high_risk_count,
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total_grids=len(grids),
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total_cases=int(len(grids) * avg_risk * 0.1) # Mock case rate
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)
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],
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timestamp=datetime.now().isoformat()
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)
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# Aggregate grids by district using point-in-polygon
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district_data = {d["name"]: {"grids": [], "high_risk": 0} for d in districts}
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unassigned = {"grids": [], "high_risk": 0}
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for grid in grids:
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assigned = False
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for district in districts:
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if point_in_polygon(grid["latitude"], grid["longitude"], district["coordinates"]):
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district_data[district["name"]]["grids"].append(grid)
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if grid["risk_1d"] >= RISK_HIGH:
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district_data[district["name"]]["high_risk"] += 1
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assigned = True
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break
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if not assigned:
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unassigned["grids"].append(grid)
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if grid["risk_1d"] >= RISK_HIGH:
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unassigned["high_risk"] += 1
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# Build response
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result = []
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for district in districts:
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name = district["name"]
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grids_in_district = district_data[name]["grids"]
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if not grids_in_district:
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continue
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avg_risk = sum(g["risk_1d"] for g in grids_in_district) / len(grids_in_district)
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high_risk_count = district_data[name]["high_risk"]
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# Mock total cases based on risk and grid count
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total_cases = int(len(grids_in_district) * avg_risk * 0.1)
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result.append(
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DistrictRisk(
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name=name,
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avg_risk=round(avg_risk, 4),
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high_risk_count=high_risk_count,
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total_grids=len(grids_in_district),
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total_cases=total_cases
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)
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)
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# Add unassigned as "其他" if significant
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if unassigned["grids"]:
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avg_risk = sum(g["risk_1d"] for g in unassigned["grids"]) / len(unassigned["grids"])
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result.append(
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DistrictRisk(
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name="其他",
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avg_risk=round(avg_risk, 4),
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high_risk_count=unassigned["high_risk"],
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total_grids=len(unassigned["grids"]),
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total_cases=int(len(unassigned["grids"]) * avg_risk * 0.1)
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)
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)
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return DistrictsResponse(
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districts=result,
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timestamp=datetime.now().isoformat()
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)
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@router.get("/correlations", response_model=CorrelationsResponse)
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async def get_correlations():
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"""
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Get weather-health correlation analysis
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Returns:
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Correlation factors with coefficients and significance
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"""
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latest_date = get_latest_date()
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filepath = DATA_DIR / f"risk_{latest_date}.geojson"
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if not filepath.exists():
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raise HTTPException(status_code=404, detail=f"No data found for date {latest_date}")
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grids = parse_geojson_file(filepath)
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if not grids:
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raise HTTPException(status_code=404, detail="No grid data found")
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# Calculate mock correlations based on risk patterns
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# In production, this would use actual weather and health data
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avg_risk = sum(g["risk_1d"] for g in grids) / len(grids)
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risk_variance = sum((g["risk_1d"] - avg_risk) ** 2 for g in grids) / len(grids)
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# Generate realistic correlation coefficients
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correlations = [
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CorrelationFactor(
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factor="temperature",
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correlation=round(-0.45 - 0.1 * (avg_risk - 0.5), 3),
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significance="high" if risk_variance > 0.05 else "medium",
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description="Temperature vs risk: Lower temps correlate with higher risk"
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),
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CorrelationFactor(
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factor="humidity",
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correlation=round(0.32 + 0.15 * (avg_risk - 0.5), 3),
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significance="medium",
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description="Humidity vs risk: Higher humidity slightly increases risk"
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),
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CorrelationFactor(
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factor="PM2.5",
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correlation=round(0.58 + 0.1 * (avg_risk - 0.5), 3),
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significance="high",
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description="PM2.5 vs risk: Strong positive correlation"
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),
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CorrelationFactor(
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factor="PM10",
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correlation=round(0.51 + 0.08 * (avg_risk - 0.5), 3),
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significance="high",
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description="PM10 vs risk: Moderate positive correlation"
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),
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CorrelationFactor(
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factor="wind_speed",
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correlation=round(-0.28 - 0.05 * (avg_risk - 0.5), 3),
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significance="low",
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description="Wind speed vs risk: Higher wind disperses pollutants"
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),
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CorrelationFactor(
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factor="population_density",
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correlation=round(0.42 + 0.12 * (avg_risk - 0.5), 3),
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significance="high",
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description="Population density vs risk: Dense areas show higher transmission"
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),
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]
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return CorrelationsResponse(
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correlations=correlations,
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timestamp=datetime.now().isoformat()
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)
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